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A Luxury Market Rebound in 2010?

Bain & Co. forecasts growth for perfume/cosmetics in 2010.

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By: TOM BRANNA

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The global crisis in worldwide luxury goods sales came to an end in the fourth quarter of 2009, ending a first-ever full year decline in sales, and is now projected to rise 10% in 2010, reaching approximately $233 billion, according to Bain & Company.

Presenting the data at the annual Fondazione Altagamma (the Italian luxury goods industry trade association) conference, the consulting firm said the market rebound is tied to several key sales drivers—double-digit increases, on average, in the second and third quarter; a rapid return of consumers to brands’ direct-owned stores; continued strong growth in China; a rebound of sales in the U.S.; and particularly strong sales of leather, shoes, and accessories.


So what about luxury beauty?

According to Bain & Company’sLuxury Goods Worldwide Market Study, while accessories, shoes and leather goods will expand by 16%—coming close to exceeding the revenues of apparel, which is traditionally the largest luxury goods sector—perfume and cosmetics are forecast to grow at 4% for 2010.

“We’ve seen a number of new behaviors and trends emerge now that the crisis is reversing,” concluded D’Arpizio. “The luxury shopper of this decade is more likely to be Chinese, more likely to be male, and more likely to be young. Brands that meet the needs of these new segments will be in the best position to keep growing for the next ten years.”

More info: www.bain.com

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